The Fox News harassment retelling has gotten favorable reviews, with the star power of Charlize Theron, Nicole Kidman, and Margot Robbie, as well as top theater placement, positioning it for strong results. Lionsgate is platforming the picture this week in New York and Los Angeles prior to its December 20 wide release. The surprise four SAG nominations for Jay Roach’s “Bombshell” will make the film this year’s initial big beneficiary. In recent years, notable platform openings on this weekend include “American Hustle,” “The Big Short,” “La La Land,” “I, Tonya,” and “If Beale Street Could Talk.” These are awards contenders, often expected to expand quickly with the benefit of nominations. It’s a wild card, but the guess for its opening gross is in the same league as “Richard Jewell.” Unlike that film, it’s uncertain whether it can hold theaters through Christmas Day. Sophia Takal, an indie favorite who recently directed an episode of Blumhouse’s Hulu series “Into the Dark,” also wrote this sorority slasher film with a female empowerment twist. It is notable as featuring a rare female director from the otherwise diverse producer. “Black Christmas” in the very thrifty range of Blumhouse releases like “Happy Death Day 2U” ($28 million domestic, $5 million budget, $9 million opening). In any event, it will play through Christmas. In recent years, it’s been take the over on any guesses for his films. Without Clint in the lead, the prognosis for the opening range is $9 million-$12 million. He took on a role earlier anticipated for Jonah Hill (a producer here, along with Leonardo DiCaprio). The supporting cast includes Kathy Bates, Sam Rockwell, Olivia Wilde, and Jon Hamm, but the lead role of the victimized Georgia man accused of the 1996 Olympic bombing is played by the less-known Paul Walter Hauser. “Richard Jewell” has gotten some good reviews (actually a bit ahead of “The Mule”) and some initial awards attention, but its target is mainstream audiences. “The Mule,” which opened on the same weekend last year, opened to $17.5 million, then ended up six times bigger at $103 million. Again, this is a weekend that sees reduced numbers, particularly for older-audience films. The other new films will vie for third place. Wherever it lands, it will take over the #1 slot from “Frozen II.” Disney’s juggernaut is already at $340 million, on its way to join five other Disney releases as the biggest domestic hits (assuming “Rise of Skywalker” joins it the biggest non-Disney total is $390 million for Sony’s “Spider-Man: Far from Home”). “Welcome to the Jungle” will be tough to replicate, but the closer this opens to $50 million, the better chance it has to hit its mark. The domestic estimate ranges from around $40 million-$50 million. Most had a stronger showing than 2017, but it’s below expectations in China. “The Next Level” has already opened to $53 million in 18 territories (missing many major ones). ‘Scream VI’ Lets Streaming Take the Lead with Debuts on PVOD and Paramount+
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